Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Do not mix Insurance with Investments

We are into the month of March – the last month of the current financial year. Tax planning is now uppermost on the mind of those who feel this is their last chance to save some income tax for the year. This urge to save taxes makes them highly gullible to the pointed sales pitch of ever available and savvy insurance agents who are on the prowl to ratchet up sales of their insurance products (endowment plans, savings plan, ULIPS, etc) in the guise of saving taxes for their clients. The lure is that most such insurance products are bundled as investments and promise to give back some multiple of the total premiums paid. Investors see a double benefit – tax savings plus money back at the end of the term. Consequently they are already sold and so quick to sign up for these products that their checks are already signed – they are just waiting to fill in the premium amount. This is how the vast majority of Indians are enticed into subscribing to sub-par investment products with hefty annual premiums for the meager purpose of saving a little tax. What they fail to realize is that by buying such products they neither get adequate insurance cover for themselves neither do they secure their future by way of making good investments. Lack of adequate regulatory prohibitions from bundling insurance products only makes it worse – ensuring this saga continues year after year.

The fact of the matter is this – Insurance does not equal Investments.


Let this message sink into your conscience through the above picture. Think of Insurance as an umbrella that protects you from unforeseen and sudden events. And think of Investments as an inverted umbrella that helps you accumulate and multiply your savings for a comfortable future. Do not ever mix the two – no matter how much the Insurance agent tries to convince you.

Insurance is a protection product and term cover is the purest and cheapest form of Insurance cover there is. That is the only form of Insurance you should consider buying – ideally for a sum assured of up to 10 times your annual income – to protect your dependents in the unforeseen event of any eventuality to your life. There is a cost that you have to pay for availing this protection - the annual premium. Think of this premium as an expense to protect your dependents if something were to happen to you. Do not be tempted by clever sales pitches that promise to recover this expense at the end of the term plus guaranteed additions plus reversionary bonus plus terminal bonus plus god knows what else. These sales pitches and the associated products are designed exactly to target your weak spot – your lack of willingness to treat Insurance premiums as an expense and your greed to recover this money at the end of the term. By succumbing to this greed you will end up owning products that neither gives adequate life coverage nor optimal investment returns. What makes it worse is that these are multi-year commitments which are often difficult to exit without talking a significant loss.

So the next time you are pressured by an insurance agent into buying such a product and are in doubt, ask for more time and then contact your financial advisor for a second opinion. Understand for yourself the tradeoffs between buying a bundled product versus buying a plain term plan and investing the rest of the money. Read The 4 ps of personal financial planning to understand how to go about planning your life’s finances in your own best interest.

Saturday, August 24, 2019

Nifty drops below 11000 again. Should I exit now?

The benchmark Nifty ended the week at 10,829 bouncing back from a 6 month low of 10,637 in the final trading session of the week. The sudden uptrend in the Nifty started after about 1 pm on Friday afternoon, which probably means that the market had got wind of the impending policy announcements by the Finance Minister later in the day. And right on cue, these announcements came after the close of the markets. The Finance Minister Ms Nirmala Sitharaman sought to assuage investor sentiment by rolling back the surcharge on Foreign Portfolio Investors on the one hand while increasing liquidity with a capital infusion of Rs 70,000cr into the banking system on the other. Other announcements included cheaper home and vehicle loans, better transmission of RBI policy rates and quicker GST credit for MSMEs etc. These announcements were timed to address the wide discontent with the performance of the overall Indian economy and the stock markets are expected to cheer these decisions when they reopen on Monday.

So the Government is clearly worried about the economy and is taking short term measures to stem the tide. But experts believe this is not enough – much more needs to be done at a structural level to stem the tide. Notable among these include increasing income for farmers in the agricultural sector, job creation in the manufacturing sector and NPA resolution in the services sector. Truth be told - the NDA Government has addressed these issues in its first term – it just needs to continue addressing them more into its second term. Ultimately the annual GDP growth rate which has slowed to a 5 year low of 5.8% for the last quarter of 2018-19 needs to be reversed back to 8.5% plus and more in order to achieve the Government’s own target of a $5trillion economy by 2024. Is this target realistic? Let’s look at the forecast of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the top 10 economies of the world.

Country
2018 actual GDP ($tn)
2018 actual rank
2024 projected GDP ($tn)
2024 proj. rank
GDP proj. growth rate
 United States
20,494,050
1
25,728,734
1
3.30%
 China
13,407,398
2
21,309,503
2
6.84%
 Japan
4,971,929
3
6,848,808
3
4.68%
 Germany
4,000,386
4
4,912,299
4
2.98%
 United Kingdom
2,828,644
5
3,399,017
6
2.66%
 France
2,775,252
6
3,354,126
7
2.74%
 India
2,716,746
7
4,729,319
5
8.24%
 Italy
2,072,201
8
2,323,028
9
1.65%
 Brazil
1,868,184
9
2,468,216
8
4.06%
 Canada
1,711,387
10
2,242,038
10
3.93%

Despite the recent slowing down of the global economy, the IMF forecasts that the top 10 economies will continue to grow for the next 5 years with India growing the fastest among the bunch. This will result in India climbing up two steps in the ladder while Brazil will climb up one. The IMFs forecast of $4.7tn for India is close to the Indian Government’s own $5tn target, implying that it is indeed realistic but a stretch target. In order to get there at least one of the three growth drivers – consumption, investments and exports – will have to lead the charge. If two or more drivers fire together we will hit the bull’s eye with ease.

What to Do?

Steep market corrections instill fear and a sense of impending gloom and doom amongst investors. At such times, it is perhaps best to take a step back, look at the bigger picture and try to answer some basic questions. 
  • Is India’s fundamental growth story still intact? Largely yes. 
  • Is the Government doing all it can to stem the tide?  It has made an earnest beginning. 
  • Will the Government do all it can to get back on the growth trajectory? It has no choice if it has to achieve its own $5tn target. 
Add all these answers together and it should be pretty obvious what you need to do as long-term investors in the Indian markets. If you still have questions or doubts, reach out to your SEBI Registered Investment Adviser who will be able hand-hold you through this patch of turbulence in the Indian economy. 

Happy Investing.